“It is not easy to achieve the biggest decline in the first half of the past six years.”
On August 11, Li Zuojun, deputy director of the Research Institute of Resources and Environment of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said about the energy conservation and emission reduction situation in the first half of this year.
According to figures released by the National Development and Reform Commission, the energy consumption per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) in the first half of this year fell by 4.2% year-on-year, higher than the expected annual target of 3.9%, which is the biggest decline since 2009.
According to the national statistical bulletin, in 2009-2013, China's energy consumption per unit of GDP fell by 2.2%, 4.01%, 2.01%, 3.6%, and 3.7%, respectively. The National Development and Reform Commission judged that, in conjunction with the recent on-site evaluation and assessment of the completion of energy-saving targets, and referring to historical data, if the current situation continues, it is expected to achieve the annual energy-saving emission reduction targets.
Energy efficiency in the first half of the year is the best in the past six years According to the figures released by the National Development and Reform Commission, the energy consumption per unit of GDP in the first half of this year fell by 4.2% year-on-year, which is the best result in the past six years.
Previously, the statistical bulletin of the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in 2009-2013, China's energy consumption per unit of GDP fell by 2.2%, 4.01%, 2.01%, 3.6%, and 3.7%, respectively.
Interestingly, the realization of such consumption reduction indicators is done without the acceleration of economic growth.
For example, according to the initial figures of the previous national statistical bulletin, the economic growth rate in 2012 and 2013 was 7.8% and 7.7% respectively. From 2009 to 2012, the economic growth rate was 8.7%, 10.3%, and 9.2%, respectively. In the first half of this year, the economic growth rate was only 7.4%. However, the reduction in energy consumption per unit of GDP has been the largest.
Li Zuojun, deputy director of the Institute of Resources and Environment of the Development Research Center of the State Council, pointed out that the energy consumption per unit of GDP fell by 4.2% in the first half of this year, which is a gratifying success. It is not easy to achieve the largest decline in 6 years, which lays a good foundation for the goal of reducing the energy consumption per unit of GDP by 3.9%.
"According to this strength, there is no big problem with the 3.9% reduction target for the whole year," he said.
He analyzed that energy conservation achieved such great results in the first half of this year. First, various governments adopted various energy-saving measures and achieved results. Second, this year's economic growth slowed down, the development of high-energy-consuming industries was slow, and the industrial restructuring was made a breakthrough. Third, the structure of the second and third industries was further improved. The proportion of the three industries has further increased, which has led to a slower growth in energy consumption.
This argument makes sense.
Figures show that in the first half of this year, the added value of the tertiary industry increased by 8.0%, accounting for 46.6% of GDP, and the secondary industry grew by 7.4%, accounting for 46%. This is also the third year since 2013, the value added of the tertiary industry continues to exceed the secondary industry.
Jiang Kejun, a researcher at the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, explained that the current fundamental changes have taken place within the industrial structure in the context of the country's efforts to increase energy efficiency.
For example, the core of the industry is the slowdown or decline in the growth rate of high-energy-consuming products in the industrial sector. At present, the energy consumption of high-energy-consuming industries accounts for about half of the total energy consumption. Most of them are surplus industries, the most important of which are ferrous metals (ie steel). Industry), building materials, non-ferrous metals, chemicals. “The development of high-energy-consuming industries has slowed down, and the growth of energy consumption in the whole society has slowed down.”
The figures show that in the first half of this year, the energy consumption of industrial enterprises above designated size was 1,360.8 million tons of standard coal, up 2.13% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 0.87 percentage points year-on-year, down 0.26 percentage points from the first quarter.
The industrial added value of high-energy-consuming industries such as petroleum processing, chemicals, building materials, steel and electric power increased by 4.7%, 10.9%, 9.9%, 7.0% and 3.3%, respectively. The growth rate dropped by 1.6, 0.9, 1.6, 2.7 and the same period of last year. 1.1 percentage points.
The same is true from the production. In the first half of this year, the output of high-energy-consuming products such as crude oil processing, cement, flat glass, steel, ferroalloy, non-ferrous metals and alumina increased by 2.9%, 3.6%, 4.7%, 6.4%, 9.3%, 5.4% and 6.5%, respectively. The growth rate dropped by 1.2, 6.1, 6.1, 3.8, 5.9, 4.6 and 3.5 percentage points respectively.
Yang Fuqiang, senior adviser on energy and climate change of the US Natural Resources Defense Committee, believes that to achieve energy efficiency goals, the economic growth rate should not be too low or too high. When the economic growth rate is higher than 8.5%, the energy consumption will increase rapidly. If it is too low, some basic energy consumption will not decrease, and the energy consumption per unit of GDP will not drop greatly. Maintaining a speed of around 7.5-8.5%z is beneficial to energy conservation. Economic growth slows, but energy consumption is slower.
In the first half of this year, the national economic growth rate was 7.4%, down from 7.6% in the same period last year. In the first half of the year, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 8.8% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 0.7 percentage points compared with the same period of last year. However, in the same period, the energy consumption of industrial enterprises above designated size was 1,360.8 million tons of standard coal, up 2.13% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 0.87 percentage points year-on-year.
Hard measures to complete hard tasks Premier Li Keqiang, who chaired the work conference on energy conservation, emission reduction and climate change in March this year, pointed out that hard measures must be used to complete the hard task of energy conservation and emission reduction.
To this end, we must find a reasonable balance between energy conservation and emission reduction and promote development, so that it can be paralleled and perfectly combined. It is necessary to increase the proportion of the service industry in the national economy and ensure that it continues to exceed the second-generation this year, making it a key move to promote industrial structure optimization, promote energy-saving emission reduction and low-carbon development.
At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen the responsibility, and decompose the task indicators such as the transformation of coal-fired boilers, the elimination of yellow-label vehicles, and the desulfurization, denitrification and dust removal of power plants into various regions. If the tasks are not completed, it is necessary to increase accountability.
According to the General Office of the State Council issued the “2014-2015 Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Low Carbon Development Action Plan”, the energy consumption per unit of GDP, chemical oxygen demand, sulfur dioxide, ammonia nitrogen and nitrogen oxide emissions will decrease year by year from 2014 to 2015. 3.9%, 2%, 2%, 2%, 5% or more, the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP decreased by 4% and 3.5% respectively in two years.
These efforts have increased more than in the past. The reason is that the energy consumption per unit of GDP in 2011, 2012 and 2013 decreased by 2.01%, 3.6% and 3.7% respectively, and the progress was not completed. The energy consumption per unit of GDP will drop by 3.9% next year to complete the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” energy-saving index.
Jiang Kezhen, a researcher at the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that some regions in the west are currently planning the investment pace of high-energy-consuming products. The significance is not great. Most of the high-energy-consuming products are surplus. In fact, many projects in the 12th Five-Year Plan have been terminated.
The National Development and Reform Commission just announced the results of the 2013 energy conservation assessment. In 2013, due to the number of new projects and new energy consumption in Xinjiang, the energy conservation assessment was an unfinished grade. Five provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) including Anhui, Hainan, Chongqing, Qinghai and Ningxia are basically completed.
As for the first half of 2014, the warning levels of Hainan, Qinghai, Ningxia and Xinjiang were first-class, and the energy-saving situation was very severe. The warning levels of the two regions, Fujian and Shaanxi, were Grade II, and the energy-saving situation was more severe.
The National Development and Reform Commission issued a report saying that in the second half of the year, we will do a good job in the implementation of the "2014-2015 Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Low Carbon Development Action Plan" and early warning control, and increase supervision and inspection of areas where energy conservation goals are difficult and energy consumption is growing too fast. Increase the increase in energy consumption (speed increase), and urge all localities to make early warnings.
At the same time, it will also reasonably control the total amount of energy consumption, especially to control the total amount of coal consumption, and take the energy conservation assessment of fixed assets investment as an important means to control the total energy consumption. First, in areas where the energy consumption increase (increased rate) exceeds the annual control target, the suspension of new high-energy-consuming projects can be reviewed and approved.
Li Zuojun, deputy director of the Institute of Resources and Environmental Policy of the Development Research Center of the State Council, believes that the next step in the western region should look for new ways to vigorously develop green and low-carbon industries in accordance with the requirements of energy conservation and emission reduction, and to develop economic development and ecological civilization well. Combined.
To do a good job in energy conservation and emission reduction, we need to do a good job in energy conservation. “Promptly warn some areas that are far from the expected target, and urge these areas to take early action to avoid further damage afterwards.”
The energy conservation target for the second half of the year can be expected.
The reason is that some local governments have obvious dependence on the traditional development path under the downward pressure of the economy. They are planning new projects with high energy consumption and high water consumption, which may relax the requirements for energy conservation and emission reduction. In the first half of the year, the energy consumption growth rate in some regions exceeded the energy consumption growth control target in the “2014-2015 Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Low Carbon Development Action Plan”.
On March 21 this year, Premier Li Keqiang emphasized that it is necessary to strengthen policy guidance, introduce more and use market mechanisms, and enhance the internal motivation of the whole society, especially enterprises for energy conservation and emission reduction, when presiding over the work conference on energy conservation, emission reduction and climate change. . Hard measures must be taken to complete the hard task of energy saving and emission reduction.
The 21st Century Business Herald was informed that in the second half of this year, the National Development and Reform Commission will do a good job in the implementation of the "2014-2015 Energy Conservation, Emissions and Low Carbon Development Action Plan" and early warning control, and increase supervision over areas where energy conservation goals are difficult and energy consumption is growing too fast. an examination.
At the same time, it is reasonable to control the total amount of energy consumption, especially to control the total amount of coal consumption, and to review the energy conservation assessment of fixed assets investment as an important means to control the total energy consumption.
Jiang Kezhen, director of the Energy System Analysis and Market Analysis Office of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that as the energy conservation and emission reduction work continues to increase, it is expected that this year and next year, the annual energy consumption per unit GDP reduction index of 3.9% can be exceeded. A cumulative 16% reduction in energy intensity is expected to be overfulfilled.